Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 3.202537 3.537427 3.899969 4.322852 4.804128 5.336615 5.972822
2025-08-17 2.639143 3.071337 3.570802 4.195081 4.960619 5.876724 7.067998
2025-08-24 2.310059 2.790098 3.371557 4.136283 5.128388 6.389979 8.145164
2025-08-31 2.087729 2.596853 3.237146 4.114858 5.307972 6.905201 9.261354
2025-09-07 1.968300 2.513243 3.222058 4.231037 5.663146 7.675485 10.816253
2025-09-14 1.823319 2.378305 3.120397 4.210361 5.814800 8.164843 12.018088
2025-09-21 1.695012 2.252435 3.016051 4.169219 5.923119 8.591066 13.170223
2025-09-28 1.542278 2.079673 2.830078 3.988695 5.797979 8.636477 13.696710
2025-10-05 1.470486 2.015219 2.792224 4.022108 6.000924 9.217247 15.209885
2025-10-12 1.417315 1.972917 2.781937 4.094018 6.268379 9.930060 17.066229
2025-10-19 1.368166 1.932433 2.770091 4.160203 6.529782 10.659355 19.071068
2025-10-26 1.319790 1.889380 2.750243 4.209953 6.765450 11.367582 21.153756
2025-11-02 1.266432 1.836696 2.713683 4.232312 6.961795 12.040723 23.321687
2025-11-09 1.186283 1.737625 2.596885 4.109171 6.883499 12.180533 24.362461
2025-11-16 1.126812 1.667606 2.522198 4.052060 6.919948 12.547896 25.986181
2025-11-23 1.079421 1.614068 2.470824 4.031205 7.021564 13.058192 28.049673
2025-11-30 1.060655 1.605603 2.493524 4.144456 7.394044 14.185201 31.895460
2025-12-07 1.019392 1.557683 2.446020 4.124303 7.497164 14.740745 34.384012
2025-12-14 0.977727 1.506866 2.390358 4.084201 7.554631 15.200376 36.718053
2025-12-21 0.916623 1.420432 2.267941 3.908209 7.311014 14.933318 36.915439
2025-12-28 0.892818 1.396312 2.254022 3.940787 7.515126 15.753290 40.541870
2026-01-04 0.876113 1.383449 2.259223 4.010894 7.807759 16.831906 45.277867
2026-01-11 0.859394 1.369634 2.261705 4.075413 8.094484 17.940513 50.458073